To the surprise of absolutely nobody, the New England Patriots have hit the board with the highest win total in the NFL. And of course, that means bettors start poring over the season win totals to see where their favorite team’s expectations should be set. With the draft over and most of the big-name free agents finding themselves a new home, it’s time to start looking forward to the NFL season. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games.While real life always impacts human beings playing sports, it’s an easy buy to see a major cloud lifted off of a team that persevered despite all that went on around them. There’s also everything that went on with this team off the field last year. The Raiders have a brutal opening stretch of games, but they aren’t outmatched in any of them ahead of time, with clear pathways to victory in each of these games. There are no guarantees with the Chiefs or Chargers, and the Broncos aren’t fixing all of their issues by just adding Russell Wilson. Last year’s playoff experience will prove to be valuable in navigating the length of this season. The division is tough, as is the Raiders schedule, hence a 40-1 longer shot. The defense had some big additions of their own, namely Chandler Jones and Rock Ya-Sin. Derek Carr already had big-play receiver Hunter Renfrow, workhorse back Josh Jacobs and one of the top tight ends in Darren Waller, but the addition of Adams should make this offense one of the best in the NFL. They finished the season with 10 wins, lost in the Wild Card and built on their offense by adding the best wide receiver in the NFL in Davante Adams. Keeping with teams that have an overwhelming advantage of finishing the regular season at home and finding a team with playoff experience in at least one of the last four seasons, the Las Vegas Raiders present an exceptional betting opportunity. Gaining any preseason advantage means finding the right lines and creating any workable angle to boost value. The good news is they can hang with both Philadelphia and Dallas and could move up the division ranks while dropping the value on this ticket.īest Super Bowl Longshot Bet 2022: Washington Commanders (+8000 BetMGM)īet $5, get $200 INSTANTLY with DraftKings Sportsbook! 2022 Super Bowl Sleeper Pick: Las Vegas Raiders (+4000) They also won’t have Young in Week 1 and could easily lose to Doug Pederson’s Jaguars. Ron Rivera is a laughable 6-11 straight up as the Washington coach. Wentz is brutal against the spread since his 2017 injury, and he has bounced around the league. Of course, the Commanders sit +8000 for a reason. Anything resembling the level of pass rush expected out of this unit will exponentially benefit the defensive backfield. The recent change of coaches at the defensive line showed a concerted effort to address penalties. Washingotn expects Chase Young to return despite missing the season opener, and the front seven could be one of the fiercest pass rushes in the league. In 2017, Wentz benefited from a top-ranked defense most of the season. Logan Thomas was activated off the PUP list, adding to the weapons Wentz will have. They have depth and versatility at the running back position and some sneaky talent at the wide receiver spot outside of Terry McLaurin. There is at least a veteran presence for the Washington offense to rely on throughout the year. The Commanders have Carson Wentz at quarterback, who at least has shown signs of brilliance - albeit pre-2017 injury. Where the value jumps out the most is actually on Washington at 80-1. That leaves 14 teams on the list, with some obvious fades like Chicago, Seattle, Atlanta and Pittsburgh. The only team to just show up on the map and win over the past 18 years was Tom Brady’s Buccaneers. Finding a team that’s seen recent playoff time over the previous four years is huge. The other key metric is having recent playoff experience. Take out the Cardinals, Browns, Panthers, Rams, Vikings, Jets and Cowboys. Since 2004, not one team that ended the regular season on two straight road games made the Super Bowl. If playing one final regular season game on the road is a stayaway, any team playing their final two away from home is a death sentence. But while you’re here, let’s go over two 2022 Super Bowl longshot bets and some of the best Super Bowl sleeper picks heading into the season.īet $5, get $200 INSTANTLY with DraftKings Sportsbook! Best Super Bowl Longshot Bets 2022 & Sleeper Picks 2022 Super Bowl Sleeper Pick: Washington Commanders (+8000) Head on over to OddsShopper to shop the best lines for Super Bowl futures. It’s important to identify some necessary criteria before just throwing out money on longer odds, namely avoiding any team that finishes the season with an away game. Every year bettors all over the world circle a team or two as favorites to win the Super Bowl.
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